Boeing Forecasts 2,430 More Freighters Needed By 2039

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Key Takeaways:

  • Boeing projects global freight operators will require 2,430 additional aircraft over the next two decades (930 new freighters and 1,500 converted passenger planes), reflecting the impacts of COVID-19 and long-term demand.
  • The World Air Cargo Forecast anticipates a 4% growth in world air cargo traffic over the next 20 years, emphasizing the critical role of dedicated freighters for market competition and revenue.
  • Current trends in 2020 show a significant increase in air cargo operations, with over 200 airlines utilizing more than 2,000 passenger widebody aircraft for cargo and notable traffic increases for express (14%) and all-cargo (6%) carriers.
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Global freight operators will need approximately 2,430 additional aircraft over the next 20 years, according to Boeing’s biennial World Air Cargo Forecast (WACF). The company projects that the demand for additional aircraft will include 930 new freighters and 1,500 converted passenger aircraft. Boeing says the forecast was designed to reflect the “impacts and opportunities” created by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic along with long-term freighter demand.

“Freighter operators have been in a unique position in 2020 to meet market requirements for speed, reliability and security, transporting medical supplies and other goods for people and communities around the world,” said Darren Hulst, Boeing vice president of commercial marketing. “Looking ahead, dedicated freighters will be even more critical to compete in air cargo markets; they carry more than half of air cargo traffic, and airlines operating them earn nearly 90% of air cargo industry revenue.”

The WACF (PDF), which was released on Tuesday, forecasts a 4 percent growth in world air cargo traffic over the next two decades. The report noted that approximately 200 airlines have used more than 2,000 passenger widebody aircraft for cargo-only operations so far in 2020. The forecast also stated that, as of September, express carrier traffic has increased 14 percent this year and traffic for all-cargo carriers saw a six percent increase over the same time period.

Kate O'Connor

Kate is a private pilot, certificated aircraft dispatcher, and graduate of Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University.
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