Airliner Backlog Hits 17,000 Planes

AirlineGeeks | William Derrickson)
Gemini Sparkle

Key Takeaways:

  • Persistent supply chain issues have created a record backlog of over 17,000 commercial aircraft and caused production to fall 30% below projections in 2024, with similar outlooks for 2025.
  • Compounding the shortage, about 2% of the current fleet is grounded due to engine problems, negatively impacting airline revenues, costs, and environmental performance.
  • The aircraft deficit forces airlines to slow route expansion and rely on an aging fleet (now averaging 14.8 years), leading to higher operating costs (maintenance, fuel) and hindering environmental goals.
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Supply chain issues continue to plague commercial aircraft production, leading to a record backlog of more than 17,000 planes. And the International Air Transport Association says it isn’t going to get any better soon. IATA said this week the industry made 30% fewer airliners than projected in 2024 and projections for 2025 look as bad or even worse. Compounding the issue is the fact that about 2% of the current fleet is grounded for engine issues blamed on supply chain problems. “Supply chain issues are frustrating every airline with a triple whammy on revenues, costs, and environmental performance,” said IATA Director General Willie Walsh. “Load factors are at record highs and there is no doubt that if we had more aircraft they could be profitably deployed, so our revenues are being compromised.”

The aircraft shortage has resulted in slower route expansion, and some airlines have pulled old airframes out of desert storage to keep existing routes served. All the factors combined have pushed the average age of the commercial fleet to 14.8 years from the 13.6 it’s averaged over the last 25 years. “The aging fleet that airlines are using has higher maintenance costs, burns more fuel, and takes more capital to keep it flying,” Walsh said. He also said the fleet replacement delays are hampering efforts to meet environmental impact goals.

Russ Niles

Russ Niles is Editor-in-Chief of AVweb. He has been a pilot for 30 years and joined AVweb 22 years ago. He and his wife Marni live in southern British Columbia where they also operate a small winery.
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